by Lara | Jun 24, 2015 | Public Analysis, S&P 500, S&P 500 Historical |
Second S&P 500 Grand SuperCycle Elliott wave analysis, from 1871. Summary: This is my second attempt at a long term analysis for the S&P500; the two wave counts presented here are an improvement from the first attempt. The bull wave count ignores the...
by Lara | Jun 23, 2015 | Public Analysis, S&P 500, S&P 500 Historical |
S&P 500 Grand SuperCycle Elliott wave analysis, from 1871. Summary: The bear wave count has a better overall look. Bullish Wave Count Click chart to enlarge. The data prior to the inception of the S&P500 index is an amalgamation of the US stock market back...
by Lara | Jun 19, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
The main Elliott wave count expected upwards movement, but this is not what happened. Downwards movement remains above the invalidation point on the hourly Elliott wave chart. Summary: There is zero confirmation of a trend change from bull to bear. The main wave count...
by Lara | Jun 15, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA
Downwards movement was not expected from the main Elliott wave count, but it has not been enough to invalidate the main Elliott wave count at the hourly chart level. Summary: The main wave count assumes a bull market remains intact because we have zero confirmation of...
by Lara | Jun 11, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
I have found a more acceptable bull Elliott wave count which sees the ending diagonal incomplete. Bull Wave Count Click chart to enlarge. The ending contracting diagonal may be incomplete. The diagonal is still contracting. Minute wave iii is shorter than minute wave...
by Lara | Jun 8, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
The alternate Elliott wave count is looking increasingly likely, but it remains unconfirmed. Summary: The main wave count has further reduced in probability, but the alternate still requires confirmation. This is a big trend change, even for the bull wave count, and...
by Lara | May 28, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
Downwards movement was expected. Summary: The next move for the S&P may be a strong third wave down to a short term target about 2,069. Changes to last analysis are italicised. To see a weekly chart and how to draw trend lines go here. Bull Wave Count Click chart...
by Lara | May 26, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
The short term target for downwards movement at 2,103 was met and exceeded slightly by 3.73 points. Summary: A small fourth wave correction is incomplete; sideways movement may complete a small green candlestick or doji for tomorrow. The fourth wave may end about...
by Lara | May 20, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA
Again upwards movement may be over, but confirmation is required. Summary: Again the structure of this contracting diagonal is complete. A breach of the channel on the hourly chart is absolutely required for confidence in a trend change at least at minute degree....
