by Lara | Mar 19, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
Last analysis was invalidated by upwards movement. The wave count is changed. Summary: Simple trend lines indicate the trend remains down. None of the major indexes have made new highs. The trend remains down at minor degree. I am expecting more downwards movement....
by Lara | Mar 5, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
Price has moved sideways in a very small range to complete a small red doji. Because a slight new high was made the wave count is changed slightly. Summary: The situation is unclear but in the bigger picture I still favour the idea that we should see overall downwards...
by Lara | Mar 4, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
Movement below 1,841.13 invalidated the first hourly wave count and confirmed the second. It looks likely now that the S&P 500 is still in an intermediate degree correction. Summary: I expect overall downwards movement for about three weeks in total from the high...
by Lara | Feb 17, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
This update is in response to the persistent insistence that the S&P 500 will make new highs. I tend to think that because this insistence, after 4 years and 11 months of a bull market, is so strong and so persistent, that it is therefore most likely wrong. At...
by Lara | Feb 4, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA, S&P 500 Historical
Movement below 1,770.45 has confirmed a trend change. The downwards trend is either a new cycle degree wave, or an intermediate degree correction. The wave count remains the same. Summary: The mid term picture is now clearer. Overall downwards movement is incomplete...
by Lara | Jan 17, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
Yesterday I expected Friday to move price lower and a red candlestick to complete for Friday’s session. This is what has happened, and the structure on the hourly chart is completing as it was labeled yesterday. Click on the charts below to enlarge. Main Bearish...
by Lara | Jan 11, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA
Last analysis had two hourly wave counts. I had expected price to break out of its small zone and provide some clarity by invalidating one of the two wave counts. This did not happen and both wave counts remain valid. However, the alternate has reduced in probability...
by Lara | Dec 28, 2013 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA
Last analysis expected choppy overlapping movement to begin and last for five to eight days. Friday’s session was very quiet and produced a small red candlestick which fits nicely with the wave count. The wave count remains mostly the same. Click on the charts...
by Lara | Dec 11, 2013 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA
Last analysis expected some downwards movement for a second wave correction, but I had expected it to be over more quickly so as to not see a red candlestick on the daily chart. The wave count remains the same. Click on the charts below to enlarge. Main Wave Count....
