by Lara | Oct 9, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA
Downwards movement below 1,926.03 was unexpected. This changes the wave count substantially. Summary: It is most likely that intermediate wave (1) or cycle wave b (for the bearish wave count) is over. In the short term I expect a five down to 1,918. Click on charts to...
by Lara | Oct 1, 2014 | Russell 2000, Russell 2000 Historical
Click on charts to enlarge. Data available extends back only to the end of 1987. Data begins with the 1987 “crash” which I am labeling a cycle degree second wave correction. A five wave impulse for a super cycle wave (I) ended in March, 2000. Ratios of...
by Lara | Oct 1, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA
Upwards movement made a new high. Thereafter, price turned down but remained above the invalidation point on the hourly chart. Summary: I still have some confidence that the correction is over. A new high above 1,986.37 would add further confidence. I expect about two...
by Lara | Sep 23, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA, S&P 500 Historical |
Price moved lower exactly as expected for Tuesday’s session. Summary: The fourth wave correction looks like it is more likely a flat and may end tomorrow. The target for downwards movement is at 1,968. Alternatively, the correction could still be a triangle and...
by Lara | Sep 16, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA
Both the main and alternate hourly Elliott wave counts in last analysis expected more downwards movement for Monday. We have a new low and a red candlestick. Summary: Tomorrow I expect more downwards movement to a short term target at 1,975. Thereafter, we may see...
by Lara | Aug 27, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA
Another small red doji indicates this small fourth wave correction was not over, which was expected to continue at least for the first part of Wednesday’s session. The wave count remains the same. Summary: In the short term I expect a little sideways movement to...
by Lara | Aug 24, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA
Price moved lower during Friday’s session to complete a very small red candlestick. This was one of the two fourth wave corrections I was expecting, which turned a few days earlier than expected. Summary: I expect the resumption of the upwards trend on Monday....
by Lara | Aug 14, 2014 | Public Analysis, Russell 2000, Russell 2000 Historical
By request from a member here is an Elliott wave analysis of Russell 2000 using data from Yahoo Finance. Click on charts to enlarge. Data available extends back only to the end of 1987. Data begins with the 1987 “crash” which I am labeling a cycle degree...
by Lara | Aug 13, 2014 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
A slight new high above 1,944.90 invalidated the main hourly Elliott wave count and confirmed the alternate hourly wave count. The alternate Elliott wave count expected not much more upwards movement, only sideways movement, which is what happened. Summary: This B...