by Lara | Jun 23, 2015 | Public Analysis, S&P 500, S&P 500 Historical |
S&P 500 Grand SuperCycle Elliott wave analysis, from 1871. Summary: The bear wave count has a better overall look. Bullish Wave Count Click chart to enlarge. The data prior to the inception of the S&P500 index is an amalgamation of the US stock market back...
by Lara | Jun 19, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
The main Elliott wave count expected upwards movement, but this is not what happened. Downwards movement remains above the invalidation point on the hourly Elliott wave chart. Summary: There is zero confirmation of a trend change from bull to bear. The main wave count...
by Lara | Jun 15, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA
Downwards movement was not expected from the main Elliott wave count, but it has not been enough to invalidate the main Elliott wave count at the hourly chart level. Summary: The main wave count assumes a bull market remains intact because we have zero confirmation of...
by Lara | Jun 8, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
The alternate Elliott wave count is looking increasingly likely, but it remains unconfirmed. Summary: The main wave count has further reduced in probability, but the alternate still requires confirmation. This is a big trend change, even for the bull wave count, and...
by Lara | May 28, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
Downwards movement was expected. Summary: The next move for the S&P may be a strong third wave down to a short term target about 2,069. Changes to last analysis are italicised. To see a weekly chart and how to draw trend lines go here. Bull Wave Count Click chart...
by Lara | May 20, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA
Again upwards movement may be over, but confirmation is required. Summary: Again the structure of this contracting diagonal is complete. A breach of the channel on the hourly chart is absolutely required for confidence in a trend change at least at minute degree....
by Lara | May 14, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA
Yesterday’s Elliott wave analysis expected it was more likely for a third wave up to begin on Thursday which is exactly what happened. Summary: Overall upwards movement should continue until the upper pink i-iii trend line of the diagonal is overshot. The target...
by Lara | Apr 11, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
Upwards movement continued, but remains below the invalidation point. Last Elliott wave analysis expected downwards movement to begin. Summary: The S&P remains within a consolidation phase. I still expect the breakout, when it comes, should be downwards. I expect...
by Lara | Apr 6, 2015 | S&P 500, S&P 500 + DJIA |
Upwards movement confirmed the alternate hourly Elliott wave count which was judged to have about an even probability with the main Elliott wave count. Summary: In the short term a second wave correction may end about 2,092 tomorrow. Thereafter, downwards movement...