Upwards movement was expected. Price did move higher to begin the session, but fell strongly in the final hours to close red. An outside day was completed.
Another downwards day has unfolded as expected to start the new trading week. The Elliott wave count remains the same and has support from volume and ADX.
A downwards day was expected for Tuesday’s session.
There are only now two hourly Elliott wave counts.
Again, the two daily Elliott wave counts today are judged to have about an even probability.
Assume the trend is the same, until proven otherwise.
A small inside day remains below the invalidation point on both Elliott Wave hourly charts.
Upwards movement invalidated the main hourly Elliott wave count and confirmed the alternate, which was judged to have a very low (5%) probability.
A very small range day to produce a small green doji sees both hourly Elliott wave counts remain valid.
Price is squeezed between two trend lines.
End of week analysis expected Monday to see strong downwards movement.
This is exactly what happened.
A breach of the channel on the hourly chart may be taken as confirmation a correction has begun.
Analysis this week will focus on identifying when the correction may be over.
New lows were expected, but a green candlestick was not.